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Benchmark · Null result

Controlled benchmark is not public yet

A technical evaluator wants a controlled, reproducible answer to whether structured project context improves agent work.

benchmark benchmark pending planned sanitized 3 evidence rows 7 evidence values

benchmark gate

Benchmark gate

Planned artifact
The null result is deliberate: the site shows the measurement gate before it shows a number.

HERMES case-study frame

Read the case before the evidence room.

A reviewer should be able to answer seven things before opening the JSON export: what decision is in front of them, what changed against a cold start, which row carries the claim, where the value appears, what source trail exists, what purchase decision it informs, and what the case does not prove.

  1. 01 · Buyer question

    What is being decided?

    A technical evaluator wants a controlled, reproducible answer to whether structured project context improves agent work.

  2. 02 · Cold start

    Premature claim

    The tempting path is to publish a broad productivity number before the benchmark earns it.

  3. 03 · KBPD-backed

    Gated benchmark

    The benchmark separates structured files from generic docs and prompt-only baselines before any public number ships.

  4. 04 · Boundary

    Null result

    No benchmark result exists on the public site yet.

Best public row no-public-lift-number Publicly inspectable

Proof row

No public lift number exists

The benchmark case publishes no numeric lift result and labels the current result as null.

Supports the claim-discipline argument that no benchmark number ships before the run clears gates.
Evidence value
Current public number: none The site does not claim a measured productivity lift yet.
Source trail
Benchmark design measurement plan · Public projection
Buyer decision
Read the technology page This case exists to show claim discipline. The current public result is deliberately a null result.
Limit
Null result No benchmark result exists on the public site yet.

Evidence room

Inspect the evidence, values, and limits.

This is the public review surface for the case. Each row names the observation, the evidence values it stands on, the source trail, the boundary, and the matching structured entry in the evidence export.

Evidence JSON
Review order Question -> evidence -> value -> source -> limit Start with the case question, then inspect what the claim is allowed to stand on.
Evidence export /proof/substrate-benchmark/evidence.json The same evidence rows are emitted as JSON for independent review.
Claim boundary Null result The page cannot claim more than this status supports.
Source availability

A source trail is not always a raw public artifact. Public projection means the source has been redrawn or summarized; retained source means it is named for audit but withheld until redaction clears.

Public projection
1
Retained source
0
Pending run
1
Evidence rows
3
Reviewed public observations
Evidence values
7
Metric and run values exposed for review
Source trail
2
Artifacts named for review
Claim status
Null result
Claim boundary for publication

Claim under review

No numeric lift claim is public until the preregistered benchmark runs and clears its validity gates.

This case exists to show claim discipline. The current public result is deliberately a null result.

01 No public lift number exists Publicly inspectable evidence_facts[0]
02 Three benchmark arms are planned Public projection evidence_facts[1]
Observed
The planned benchmark compares project system, generic docs, and competent prompt-only baseline arms.
Evidence
Metric row lists three planned arms; after-artifact summary describes separating structured files from generic docs and prompt-only baselines.
Supports
Supports the benchmark design claim without presenting the result as already run.
Evidence id three-arms-planned Review URL #fact-three-arms-planned
03 Run artifacts are pending Pending evidence_facts[2]
Observed
The source artifact list marks run artifacts as pending, and the limitations state no public benchmark result exists yet.
Evidence
Source artifacts include pending run artifacts; limitations explicitly state the result may be narrow or null.
Supports
Supports the status boundary for the benchmark placeholder.
Evidence id run-artifacts-pending Review URL #fact-run-artifacts-pending

Evidence values

The values this proof is allowed to stand on

Field Value Meaning
Current public number Value handle: data-01-current-public-number none The site does not claim a measured productivity lift yet.
Planned arms Value handle: data-02-planned-arms 3 Project system, generic docs, and competent prompt-only baseline.
Run date Value handle: data-03-run-date Pending Date label attached to this public proof case.
Sample Value handle: data-04-sample Not run publicly Sample size or unit under review.
Provenance Value handle: data-05-provenance Benchmark design summary Where the public projection says the evidence came from.
Reproducibility Value handle: data-06-reproducibility The public harness becomes the source once the run clears gates. What a reviewer can repeat or inspect publicly.
Claim status Value handle: data-07-claim-status null result The maximum strength of the public claim.

Source trail

Where the public proof can point

  • source-01-benchmark-design Benchmark design measurement plan · public projection
  • source-02-run-artifacts Run artifacts benchmark output · pending run

Evidence status mix

What kind of support is each row?

Publicly inspectable
1
Public projection
1
Pending
1

Metrics

Signals carried by the case

  • none Current public number The site does not claim a measured productivity lift yet.
  • 3 Planned arms Project system, generic docs, and competent prompt-only baseline.

Source artifacts

Where the evidence comes from

  • Benchmark design measurement plan · public projection
  • Run artifacts benchmark output · pending run

Case quality review

This case has a cold-review quality score.

This is a cold-review rubric, not a sales claim. It checks whether the case can be understood, inspected, bounded, and acted on.

Overall 4.2 Inspectable with caveats

Cold-audience clarity

5.0

A reviewer gets the situation, contrast, and buyer decision without reading the JSON.

Evidence visibility

4.0

The case exposes proof rows, values, source handles, and excerpts before the JSON export.

Limitation clarity

5.0

The page names what the case proves and what it does not prove.

Visual hierarchy

3.0

The route uses visuals, storyboards, or surface frames to break the proof into inspectable layers.

Purchase motivation

4.0

The proof sends the buyer to an evidence room, artifact link, pricing path, or local run.

Next depth gate

Visual hierarchy: Promote the proof row into a diagram, table, screenshot projection, or openable artifact.

Open case evidence

Evidence docket

Review the evidence rows behind the case.

Evidence JSON
Evidence rows
3
Publicly inspectable
1
Public projection
1
Pending
1
  1. 01 Publicly inspectable

    No public lift number exists

    Observed
    The benchmark case publishes no numeric lift result and labels the current result as null.
    Evidence
    Metric row says current public number is none; claim status is null result.
    Supports
    Supports the claim-discipline argument that no benchmark number ships before the run clears gates.
  2. 02 Public projection

    Three benchmark arms are planned

    Observed
    The planned benchmark compares project system, generic docs, and competent prompt-only baseline arms.
    Evidence
    Metric row lists three planned arms; after-artifact summary describes separating structured files from generic docs and prompt-only baselines.
    Supports
    Supports the benchmark design claim without presenting the result as already run.
  3. 03 Pending

    Run artifacts are pending

    Observed
    The source artifact list marks run artifacts as pending, and the limitations state no public benchmark result exists yet.
    Evidence
    Source artifacts include pending run artifacts; limitations explicitly state the result may be narrow or null.
    Supports
    Supports the status boundary for the benchmark placeholder.

Evidence Flow

Read the proof as a chain, not a claim.

Each case has to survive the same path: starting condition, system-backed change, visible result, retained evidence, stated limitation, and a next action.

Current public number none
Planned arms 3

Claim

No numeric lift claim is public until the preregistered benchmark runs and clears its validity gates.

This case exists to show claim discipline. The current public result is deliberately a null result.

Before / after

Same use case. Different starting conditions.

Before · marketing number

Premature claim

The tempting path is to publish a broad productivity number before the benchmark earns it.

Agents are 40% better with KBPD. This is exactly the claim we are not making yet.

After · controlled measurement plan

Gated benchmark

The benchmark separates structured files from generic docs and prompt-only baselines before any public number ships.

The result may be positive, narrow, or null. The studio will publish the earned result, not the desired one.

Evidence

What this case actually carries.

Run metadata

Metrics

  • none Current public number The site does not claim a measured productivity lift yet.
  • 3 Planned arms Project system, generic docs, and competent prompt-only baseline.

Source artifacts

  • Benchmark design measurement plan · public projection
  • Run artifacts benchmark output · pending run

Limitations

What this case does not prove.

Next

Follow this proof into the product.

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